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Are Consumers Myopic? Evidence from New and Used Car Purchases

机译:消费者是否近视?新车和二手车购买的证据

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摘要

We investigate whether car buyers are myopic about future fuel costs. We estimate the effect of gasoline prices on short-run equilibrium prices of cars of different fuel economies. We then compare the implied changes in willingness-to-pay to the associated changes in expected future gasoline costs for cars of different fuel economies in order to calculate implicit discount rates. Using different assumptions about annual mileage, survival rates, and demand elasticities, we calculate a range of implicit discount rates similar to the range of interest rates paid by car buyers who borrow. We interpret this as showing little evidence of consumer myopia.
机译:我们调查购车者是否对未来的燃料成本视而不见。我们估计汽油价格对不同燃油经济性汽车的短期均衡价格的影响。然后,我们将支付意愿的隐含变化与不同燃油经济性汽车的预期未来汽油成本的相关变化进行比较,以计算隐含的折现率。使用关于年里程,生存率和需求弹性的不同假设,我们计算出一系列隐性折现率,类似于借贷购车者支付的利率范围。我们认为这表明消费者近视的证据很少。

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